appendix H – CDTC’s Merit Evaluation Procedureappendix H

 

 

Benefit/Cost Calculations

 

 

Introduction

 

Benefit to cost ratios are calculated by CDTC staff whenever possible.  They are shown in the box in the upper right-hand corner of the project fact sheet.  Consistent units of thousands of current dollars per year are used throughout.  Instances where a benefit/cost ratio calculation is inappropriate or unable to be calculated are handled by further elaboration of the "non-quantifiable" or "qualitative" project benefits.  Bicycle and pedestrian projects are handled differently, as explained below.

 

Five measures of project benefit are calculated, including safety, travel time, energy/user, and "other" benefits.  Life cycle cost savings are applied primarily to infrastructure improvements.  Life cycle cost savings are calculated by using the CDTC STEP Model to estimate the system traffic disbenefits of letting a bridge or pavement section deteriorate to the point of abandonment.

 

 

Safety Benefits

 

Safety benefits are measured in the dollar value of the projected reduction in accidents per year.  They are the product of the average annual accidents, the expected percent reduction in accidents as a result of the improvement and a monetary equivalence factor from a standardized table developed by NYSDOT. 

 

Using ArcView GIS and linked data from NYSDOT, accident data were obtained for each of the candidate project segments for the four-year period of 1998 through 2001 for state roads and the three-year period of 1998 through 2000 for non-state roads.  For projects proposed on New York State roads the State Accident Surveillance System (SASS) data files were used; for those proposed on non-state roads the Centralized Local Accident Surveillance System (CLASS) files were used. 

 

 

Accident Reduction Factors

 

Accidents were identified as intersection or link related, or in the case of projects proposing to realign curves, curve-related link accidents.  Motor vehicle only accidents were distinguished from motor vehicle/pedestrian or motor vehicle/bicycle accidents.  Improvements had reduction factors for roads with AADT's greater than 5,000 per lane and those with less.  The majority of accident reduction factors used in this analysis were obtained from NYSDOT and are found in Table H-1 on page H-3.  Supplemental accident reduction factors were obtained from other sources and are found in Table H-1A on page H-7.

 

Accident reduction factors were separated into various groups: those that could be applied project-wide against link accidents, those that could be applied project-wide against intersection accidents, those to be applied at distinct locations within the project limits (i.e. curves) and those that could be applied against bicycle/motor vehicle or pedestrian/motor vehicle accidents only.  Examples of project wide accident reduction factors include drainage improvements or shoulder widening.  Intersection channelization or realignment of horizontal curves are factors related to intersections or distinct locations. 

 

 

Application of Accident Reduction Factors

 

Information regarding planned improvements to be undertaken for each proposed project was obtained from the Project Justification Packages submitted to CDTC.  Project improvements for which an applicable accident reduction factor was available were then identified and corresponding average accident reduction factors tallied.  For the vast majority of projects, more than one accident reduction factor was applicable.  In these cases, the average was applied, consistent with methodology used by NYSDOT to estimate the potential safety benefits of projects.[1]  The estimated number of accidents reduced annually for each component (intersections, links, bicycle, and pedestrian accidents) was calculated and a grand total for the project produced.  Safety benefits were then calculated by multiplying the average annual accident cost by the number of accidents reduced. 

 

 

Accident Costs

 

Average annual accident costs for all facility types were supplied by NYSDOT[2].  These averages were then aggregated into one average for all urban facility types and one for rural facility types as shown in Table H-2 on page H-8.  Costs are not segregated by the type of damage (fatality, injury, or property damage only).

 


 

Table H-1

ACCIDENT Reduction Factors

 

 

 

Improvement

Average Reduction
(% of All Accidents)
>5000 AADT/ln/<5000 AADT/ln

 

 

Remarks

 

INTERSECTION IMPROVEMENTS

 

 

Channelization

37/35

Right angle 58%/48%, Rear and overturn (OT) 30%/53%, Left turn 49%

Add left turn lane with physical separation

26/--

Head on/sideswipe (SS) 79%/79%

Add left turn lane with painted separation

45/50

Right-angle 63%/62%, rear-end/OT 39%/54%, left turn 35%/57%

Add right turn lane with physical separation

--/--

Limited data

Add pavement markings to reduce size of intersection

--/--

Limited data

Other channelization

24/36

Right angle 47%/45%

Rear end/OT 33%/76%

 

 

 

Traffic Signals/Devices

19/34

Right angle 34%/50%, Rear end/OT 26%/39%, Left turn 18%/26%, Head on/SS 39%/23%

Other signal improvements

15/23

Right angle 22%/30%, Rear end/OT 25%/39%

Install stop ahead signs

15/15

 

4-way stop signs

73/73

 

Install minor leg stop control

1/1

 

Install yield signs

23/23

 

Install new flashing red/yellow signal

26/25

Right-angle 36%/35%

Change in operation to flashing red/yellow signal

--/--

Limited data

Install new red/yellow/ green signal

20/38

Right-angle 43%/74%, rear-end/sideswipe 20%/22%

Upgrade red/yellow/green signal.  (Includes larger lenses, better placement of heads, phase adjustment and general signal upgrades)

19/37

Right-angle 37%/47%, rear-end/OT 26%/41%, left turn 26%/38%, Head on/SS 52%/32%

Left turn protection   (change # of phases)

36/30

Right angle 56%/54%, rear end/OT 35%/27%, left turn 46%/41%

Add pedestrian signals

13/13

Detailed engineering analysis recommended

Change in signal operation, from pre-timed to traffic- actuated

28/39

Rear-end/sideswipe 26%/53%, right angle 32%/41%, Head on/sideswipe 60%/81%

Channelization & Signals/Devices

8/41

Right angle 30%/66%, rear end/OT 26%/49%

Add left-turn lane with signal (physical)

19/51

Right-angle 55%/68%, rear-end/OT 28%/50%, left turn 24%/24%

Add left-turn lane with signal (painted)

16/30

Right-angle 49%/64%

Add right-turn lane with signal

--/--

Limited data

Add left & right turn lane with signal

14/41

Right-angle 42%/70, and rear-end/sideswipe 38%/64%

Sight distance improvement

31/31

 

Other intersection work

--/41

Right angle /69%

  Prohibit turning movement

40/40

 

  Prohibit Parking

32/32

 

 

 

 

Cross-Sectional improvements

 

Pavement Widen, No Lanes Added

59/37

Left turn 69%/77%

Widen travel way from 9 feet

--/--

Limited data

Widen travel way from 10 feet

59/37

Left turn 69%/77%

 

 

 

Lanes Added, Without New Median

31/20

Right angle 45%/35%, Rear end/OT 52%/42%, head-on/sideswipe 44%/38%

Add additional lanes same alignment

31/20

Rear end/OT 52%/42%, head-on/sideswipe 44%/38%, right angle 45%/35%, increased right turn 79%/79%

Add climbing lane

--/--

Limited data

Divided Highway, New Flush Median

44/24

Rear end/OT 41%/44%, Left turn 78%/59%, Head on/sideswipe 57%/60%

Add flush median

52/44

Left turn 78%/72%

Add flush median with refuge for left turns

44/24

Rear-end/OT 40%/44%, head-on/sideswipe 52%/55%, left-turn 77%/58%, increased right turn 95%/95%

Widen flush median

--/--

Limited data

 

 

 

Shoulder Widening or Improvements

--/--

Limited data

Shoulder stabilization

--/--

Limited data

Widening existing shoulder

17/17

For 2-lane roads only

Add additional lane w/median, same alignment

20/20

General reconstruction

 

 

 

Skid Treatment W/Grooving

22/37

Rear end/OT 35%/54%, wet road 54%/64%, Run off the road (ROR) 40%/41%, Fixed object 19%/36%

Longitudinal grooving

21/37

54%/64% wet-road accidents, ROR 40%/41%, rear-end/OT 35%/54%, Fixed object 19%/36%

Transverse grooving

--/--

Limited data

 

 

 

Skid Treatment W/Overlay

20/13

Open-graded mix most effective.  Right angle 23%/25%, Fixed object 34%/26%

Resurfacing with skid resistant pavement

13/8

42%/35% wet-road, right angle 23%/31%

Resurfacing and superelevation

28/28

Wet road 51%/51%

Resurfacing w/open-graded mix

75/75

Wet road 91%/91%, fixed objects 93%/93%, head on/sideswipe 90%/90%

Resurfacing w/Verglimit

31/31

Icy road 52%/52%

 

 

 

Side Slopes

45/43

Fixed objects 62%/62%

Flattening side slopes

45/43

Fixed objects 62%/62%

Flattening or clearing of side slopes

--/--

Limited data

 

 

 

Improvement and/or Replacement of Structures

 

Widening existing bridge or other major structure

65/65

Collision w/bridge or other major structure only

Replacement of bridge or other major structure

25/25

 

Construction of new bridge or major structure

19/19

 

Construction or improvement of minor structure

--/--

Limited data

Construction of pedestrian over or under crossing

--/--

Limited data

Other structure work

--/--

Limited data

 

Alignment Work

 

 

Horizontal alignment changes

41/59

Fixed object 87%/68%, ROR 79%/90%, head-on 64%/67%, Rear end/OT 24%/73%

Vertical alignment changes

--/--

Limited data

Horizontal & vertical alignment

21/20

General reconstruction

 

Roadside Appurtenances

 

 

Traffic signs

14/18

Rear end/OT 18%/21%, right turn 59%/--, right angle --/34%, left turn --/35%

Install/upgrade traffic signs

13/28

Right angle 33%/43%, rear end/OT 27%/33%, left turn 43%/51%

Replace standard w/large stop signs

19/19

 

Install/improve warning signs

--/--

Limited data

Install/improve curve warning signs

--/--

Limited data

Install/improve advance curve warning flashers

54/54

Night  62%/62%

Install/improve other signs (arrow signs)

34/34

 

Protection/removal of fixed object

17/18

Rear end/OT 44%/42%

Make breakaway signs or lights

32/28

Rear end/OT 70%/72%

Install clearance and/or hazard markers

--/--

Limited data

Installation/Improvement of Road Edge Guiderail

13/16

Rear end/OT 28%/36%, Fixed object 14%/16%, right angle --/17%

Replace or upgrade deficient guiderail

9/18

Guiderail 31%/40%, fixed-object 18%/23%, Rear end/OT 27%/41%, ROR 32%/42%

Protection or removal of fixed object in gore

--/--

Limited data

Install or upgrade culvert and bridge railing

20/22

Collision w/bridge or culvert 38%/37%, Rear end/OT 32%/34%

Install road edge guiderail at new location

10/10

Fixed object 4%/4%, increases collision w/guiderail 51%/67%, ROR 18%/18%, Rear end/OT 34%/31%

Removal of guiderail  (w/o other improves)

(-19)/

(-19)

Increase collisions w/ditch/cut/bank 360%/411%

Installation or Improvement of Median Barrier (Physical Separation)

20/56

Right angle 53%/30%, Rear end/OT 32%/32%, Left turn 44%/44%, ROR 42%/42%

Replace deficient median barrier

--/--

Limited data

Install median barrier

19/19

Right angle 54%/58%

Install or improve median barrier near gore area

17/17

ROR 56%/56%, increases collision with guiderail 57%/57%, Rear end/OT 39%/39%

Installation of Pavement Markings and/or Delineators

9/17

 

Install raised snow plowable pavement markings

--/--

Limited data

No-passing striping

66/66

 

Centerline striping

5/5

No passing striping 66%/66%

Road edge restriping

38/44

Fixed object 59%/66%, Rear end/OT 50%/45%

Delineation of shoulders

9/9

 

Delineation of curves

30/30

On curves of Radius <500ft

Thermoplastic pavement markings

35/14

Fixed object 80%/56%

Thermoplastic pavement markings at spot locations

22/22

Limited data

 

OTHER ROADSIDE APPURTENANCES

Roadway lighting installation

9/9

Spot locations 36%/36%, nighttime 67%/67%

Improve drainage &/or drainage structures

32/32

 

Fencing installation

--/--

Limited data

Install impact attenuators

4/4

Limited data

Shoulder rumble strips

--/--

Limited data

 

 

 

Improvements at gores

31/23

Right angle 60%/51%, Rear end/OT 44%/50%, Head on/SS 43%/34%, ROR 52%/56%

Protection from fixed objects/improvement of positive guidance in gore area

35/27

Rear-end/sideswipe 45%/53%, run-off-the road 46%/46%, fixed object 18%/18%

Thermoplastic striping & delineation in gore area                                                            

94/38

Rear-end/sideswipe 64%/51%

Removal or protection of fixed objects in gore area

7/7

Rear-end/sideswipe 32%/42%, ROR 74%/84%

 

Source:  NYSDOT Traffic Engineering and Safety Division Safety Program Management Bureau, 5/00

Table H-1A

Supplemental accident Reduction Factors

 

 

 

Improvement

Average Reduction
(% of Accidents)
>5000 AADT/ln/<5000 AADT/ln

 

 

Remarks/Source

 

Consolidation of driveways

20/20

 

NYSDOT's 1995/1996 Five-Year Program  included an estimate of a 26% reduction in accidents at locations where arterial management techniques are applied including consolidating driveways, inter-connecting parking lots, installation of frontage roads, etc. Azzeh et. al  reported an estimated 20% reduction in accidents after consolidation of  driveways.

 

Installation of service roads

 

17/17

 

Wolf Road/Exit 3 Area Transportation System Study Planning Report, CDTC, March 1990

 

Installation of sidewalks

50/50

 FHWA's Investigation of Exposure-based Pedestrian Accident Areas: Crosswalks, Sidewalks, Local Streets and Major Arterials. RD -88-038, Knoblauch, RI, Justin, BH, Smith, SA et al, 1988.

  Applied against pedestrian/mv accidents only

 

Painted and/or raised bicycle crossing at intersections - assumed to be installed with all bike lane projects

30/30

An estimated reduction of 30% in bicycle/motor vehicle accidents due to installation of raised and painted bike lane/path intersection crossing (Garder, Leden, and Pulkkinen, 1998)

  Applied against bicycle/mv accidents only

 

Traffic calming (bulb outs, etc)

40/40

Estimated 40% reduction in all intersection accidents from traffic calming aggregating for all improvement types including bulbouts, narrowings, crosswalks, etc. according to "Safety Benefits of Traffic Calming", Zein, Geddes, Hemsing, Johnson, 1997, Transportation Research Record 1578.

 Applied against intersection accidents only

 

Installation of pedestrian refuge island

57/57

Geddes et al found the following levels of accident reduction: traffic circles and chicanes, 82 % … multiple measures 65% … pedestrian refuges 57%.  "Safety Benefits of Traffic Calming", Zein, Geddes, Hemsing, Johnson, 1997, Transportation Research Record 1578.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Installation of Roundabout

39/39

According to Insurance Institute for Highway Safety as published in "Crash Reductions Following Installation of Roundabouts in the United States", by Persaud, Retting, et. al., March 2000.  This figure was cited by the NYSDOT Roundabout group in a presentation made to the CDTC Policy Board in June 2004.  This 39% is a conservative number with smaller, single lane roundabouts typically achieving higher rates of reduction than large, multilane roundabouts. Aggregated over all types, the Insurance Institute also states that 76% reductions were found for all injury accidents. Reductions in the numbers of fatal and incapacitating injury accidents were estimated to be about 90%.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table H-2

Average Accident Costs

 

Facility Type

Average